Weekly rates

Recent Updates:

Capital Markets Comment: UST10 at 4.11% on this Veterans Day, just 2bps higher than last week at this time, but still in the trading range of where yields have been for almost all of October 2025 / November 2025 (+/-), comparable to the lows reached a year ago around this time. The Senate passed a bill yesterday paving the way for an end to the longest ever government shut-down. From an economic standpoint, the data we typically look at to gauge economic health has been delayed, or in some cases not gathered according to a Bloomberg article quoting the National Economic Director. Market has generally been in holding pattern as it is difficult to make directional moves without data, but that could change once data becomes available again. General themes remain. A weakening jobs market, higher inflation, and other risk factors despite record valuations on the equities side. Futures market puts probability of one more cut this year at 67%, falling from a 92% probability 1 month ago.
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